Man City host Spurs on Sunday, and spread bettors will be fully aware that (still) bottom of the league Spurs seem to be on the up after a recent win against Premier League highfliers Liverpool. Conversely, City have lost two in a row, against Middlesbrough and Bolton. Punters may not be aware however, that since the start of last season, City’s home win rate (13 from 18 games) to non-Big Four teams is worse only than Man Utd, Liverpool and Arsenal. Those punting on the Sporting Indexs total goals market will be especially keen to know that they have won their three such fixtures this season by an aggregate of 12-0. Another statistic which will further encourage buyers of City?s win index is that Spurs have won just three times on the road since the start of last season (twice at relegated clubs), although they have lost fewer than half (W3-D10-L11) of their games in that time.

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Whatever happens at the Emirates on Saturday, Chelsea will have the opportunity to cement their position at the top of the table at Blackburn on Sunday. They are clear favourites in the Sporting Index season points table and their +23 goal difference is almost worth an extra point. Total goals spread punters in Sunday’s match have a difficult decision to make, as although 25 of Chelsea’s 33 away games since the start of 2007 have seen two or fewer goals, they have scored 3 or more in three of their five away league games this season. However, games featuring the top sides at Ewood Park tend to be low scoring and since the start of the 2004/05 campaign, only three of Rovers’ 18 games at home to the Big Four have finished with more than two goals.

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One of the biggest games of the season takes place at the Emirates on Saturday lunchtime, as Man United travel down the M1 to take on Arsenal. Sporting Index have United as the 0.2-0.4 favourites and buyers of United supremacy on the spreads will be pleased that the Red Devils have won the last two meetings between the sides and that Emmanuel Adebayor is unable to take part. Spread bettors going on recent form will likely side with United following the Gunners’ poor result at Stoke, but sellers of United supremacy have their own reasons to be cheerful. Arsenal haven’t lost at home against the Big Four in their last nine – winning four and drawing five. In fact, buyers will be alarmed that Wenger’s side have only tasted defeat twice against the three big boys in their last 25 home games.

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